Market
Will PM Barnier resign following the no-confidence vote by January 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statement from the French government or credible news outlets
Story
French PM Barnier Faces No-Confidence Vote After Using Special Powers for Social Security Bill
Dec 2, 2024, 02:44 PM
French Prime Minister Michel Barnier has decided to use special constitutional powers to push through a social security bill without a parliamentary vote, a move that has sparked political controversy. This decision has led to the French Socialist Party, led by Olivier Faure, and the far-right National Rally (RN) party, announcing their intention to vote against Barnier in a potential no-confidence vote. Additionally, French left-wing leader Mathilde Panot has lodged a motion of no-confidence against the government. This action by Barnier is seen as an attempt to bypass the legislative process, raising concerns about the stability of his government.
View original story
Similar markets
Increase • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
No data available • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
A member of Emmanuel Macron's coalition • 25%
Marine Le Pen • 25%
A Socialist Party member • 25%
Other • 25%
Government falls • 33%
Government survives • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
