Market
Will North Korea respond to Ukraine's exchange proposal by February 15, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from North Korean government or verified news reports
Story
Zelensky Proposes Exchange of Captured North Korean Soldiers for Ukrainians Held by Russia
Jan 12, 2025, 06:57 PM
On Sunday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine is prepared to return captured North Korean soldiers to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in exchange for Ukrainian soldiers held captive in Russia. Zelensky shared footage of the first interrogations of the North Korean soldiers, who were reportedly the first of their kind captured by Ukrainian forces in Russia's Kursk region. He stated, "Ukraine is ready to hand over Kim Jong Un's soldiers to him if he can organize their exchange for our warriors who are being held captive in Russia." For those North Korean soldiers who do not wish to return, Zelensky indicated that alternative arrangements could be made.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
NATO military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant action • 25%
UN sanctions against North Korea • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Exchange completed • 25%
Exchange rejected • 25%
No response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Exchange completed • 25%
No public information • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Exchange rejected • 25%
Military support for Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions against North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%