Will New Glenn reach its target orbit on the inaugural flight on January 12, 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official mission reports from Blue Origin or credible space news agencies
Blue Origin Delays Inaugural New Glenn Launch to January 12, Aims for 320-Foot Rocket Liftoff from Cape Canaveral
Jan 9, 2025, 01:24 PM
Blue Origin, founded by Jeff Bezos, has postponed the inaugural launch of its 98-meter tall, reusable New Glenn rocket to no earlier than January 12, 2025, due to high sea states in the Atlantic where the company plans to land its booster. The launch was originally scheduled for January 10. The New Glenn rocket, standing at 320 feet tall and powered by seven BE-4 engines producing 3.9 million pounds of thrust, is designed to compete with SpaceX's offerings, particularly the Falcon 9, in the orbital launch market. The rocket, capable of carrying 45 tonnes to low-Earth orbit, is set to lift off from Launch Complex 36 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida during a three-hour window opening at 1 a.m. EST. The mission, named NG-1, aims to reach Earth's orbit safely and carry the Blue Ring Pathfinder as its payload, testing technology for the future Blue Ring spacecraft designed for satellite deployment. Blue Origin also plans to recover the first stage of the rocket on a barge named Jacklyn in the Atlantic.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Failed launch • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Successful launch, unsuccessful recovery • 25%
Unsuccessful launch • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Failure to reach orbit • 25%
Launch aborted • 25%
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Partial success • 25%
Failed orbit, successful booster landing • 25%
Successful orbit, failed booster landing • 25%
Successful orbit and booster landing • 25%
Failed orbit and booster landing • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Launch postponed • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Successful flight and landing • 25%
Successful flight but failed landing • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New Glenn has higher capacity • 25%
Data unavailable • 25%
Both have similar capacity • 25%
Falcon 9 has higher capacity • 25%
February 2025 • 25%
Before January 31, 2025 • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
April 2025 or later • 25%