Market
Will NASA launch Crew-10 mission to the ISS by March 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NASA official announcements and launch records
Story
NASA Astronauts Wilmore and Williams' 8-Day Mission Extended to 10 Months Amid Return Delay
Dec 18, 2024, 01:41 AM
NASA has announced that astronauts Barry "Butch" Wilmore and Suni Williams will remain aboard the International Space Station (ISS) until at least late March 2025, extending their mission due to delays in spacecraft readiness. The pair launched in June 2024 on Boeing's Starliner capsule for an eight-day mission, but technical problems led NASA to send the capsule back empty in September, prolonging their stay. NASA and SpaceX have postponed the launch of the Crew-10 mission to no earlier than late March 2025 to allow time to complete processing on a new Dragon spacecraft set to arrive in early January. As a result, Wilmore and Williams, now part of Crew-9, will continue their mission on the ISS, which will now last approximately ten months instead of the planned eight days.
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On schedule • 25%
Delayed by less than a month • 25%
Delayed by more than a month • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
January 2025 • 25%
Post-March 2025 • 25%
February 2025 • 25%
Launched between April 1 and April 30, 2025 • 25%
Launched by March 31, 2025 • 25%
Launched between May 1 and May 31, 2025 • 25%
Not launched by May 31, 2025 • 25%