Market
When will the Crew-10 mission launch?
3
NASA•Butch Wilmore•Suni Williams•International Space Station•ISS•Boeing•Starliner•SpaceX Dragon•Wilmore•Williams•Earth
Resolution / Starting Odds
Launched by March 31, 2025 • 25%
Launched between April 1 and April 30, 2025 • 25%
Launched between May 1 and May 31, 2025 • 25%
Not launched by May 31, 2025 • 25%
Official announcements from NASA or SpaceX regarding the Crew-10 mission status
Story
NASA Delays Return of Astronauts Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams Until Late March 2025 Due to Crew-10 Mission and SpaceX Dragon Preparation
Dec 18, 2024, 12:30 AM
NASA has announced a delay in the return of astronauts Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams from the International Space Station (ISS), extending their mission until at least late March 2025. Originally launched on June 5, 2024, aboard Boeing's Starliner capsule for an eight-day mission, their stay was extended to eight months due to technical issues with the spacecraft. The latest delay is attributed to the need for more time to prepare a new SpaceX Dragon spacecraft for the upcoming Crew-10 mission, which must launch before Wilmore and Williams can return to Earth. This mission, initially planned for February, is now scheduled for no earlier than late March, pushing the astronauts' total time in space to nearly 10 months.
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Similar markets
January 2025 • 25%
February 2025 • 25%
Post-March 2025 • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
Boeing Starliner • 25%
Other • 25%
SpaceX Dragon • 25%
Russian Soyuz • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
On schedule • 25%
Delayed by less than a month • 25%
Delayed by more than a month • 25%
Crew-10 Dragon • 25%
Soyuz • 25%
Other spacecraft • 25%
Boeing Starliner • 25%
Nick Hague • 25%
Aleksandr Gorbunov • 25%
Butch Wilmore • 25%
Suni Williams • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%