Market
Will Maria Moe's lawsuit result in a preliminary injunction by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Federal court rulings and official announcements
Story
Trump Orders 1,538 Transgender Women to Men's Prisons, Bans Federal Funding for Transition Treatments
Jan 27, 2025, 05:19 PM
President Donald Trump has issued an executive order titled 'Defending Women from Gender Ideology Extremism and Restoring Biological Truth to the Federal Government,' which mandates that transgender women be housed in men's federal prisons. The order also prohibits the use of federal funds for gender transition treatments for inmates. This policy affects approximately 1,538 transgender women currently in federal custody, representing 15% of the 10,047 female inmates. Additionally, there are 750 transgender men among the 144,036 male inmates. The directive has sparked controversy, with critics arguing that it increases the risk of violence and assault against transgender inmates. In response, a transgender woman, Maria Moe, who is currently in federal custody, has filed a lawsuit against the administration, claiming that the order violates her constitutional and statutory rights and endangers her safety. The lawsuit seeks to block the executive order and maintain her current housing and medical treatment.
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Similar markets
State governments • 25%
ACLU • 25%
Other entities • 25%
Immigrant advocacy groups • 25%
Jay-Z • 25%
Plaintiff • 25%
None • 25%
Diddy • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Blake Lively • 25%
Justin Baldoni • 25%
Ryan Reynolds • 25%
None by the deadline • 25%
Injunction Denied • 33%
Settlement Reached • 34%
Injunction Granted • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
