Market
Will Kim Yong-hyun be convicted on martial law charges by December 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court ruling or official legal documents
Story
Arrested Ex-Defense Minister Drafted Martial Law with Curfew, President Yoon Ordered Its Removal Amid Impeachment
Dec 26, 2024, 02:14 AM
The legal team of former South Korean Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun, who was arrested in connection with the December 3 martial law declaration, has revealed that he drafted the initial version of a martial law proclamation, which included a curfew for the public. However, President Yoon Suk Yeol ordered the removal of the curfew clause from the draft. This disclosure comes amidst an ongoing impeachment trial against President Yoon, centered on his brief declaration of martial law on December 3. Kim's lawyers have defended the martial law decree, arguing it was necessary to address anti-state elements threatening the country's democracy. Kim attempted suicide while in detention on December 11. The controversy surrounding the martial law declaration led to President Yoon's impeachment by parliament on December 14, with the outcome of his trial to be determined by the Constitutional Court.
View original story
Similar markets
Guilty of insurrection • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Guilty of abuse of power only • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Charges Dropped • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of some charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Plea bargain • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Convicted of Insurrection • 25%
Convicted of Lesser Charge • 25%
Mistrial/Other • 25%
Acquitted • 25%