Market
Will Istanbul see more counterfeit alcohol-related deaths by February 15, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports from Istanbul health authorities or news outlets
Story
Istanbul's Counterfeit Alcohol Crisis Claims 38 Lives, 92 Hospitalized; 29 Tons Seized, 64 Licenses Revoked
Jan 16, 2025, 06:54 PM
In Istanbul, the death toll from consuming counterfeit alcohol has risen to 38, with 92 individuals hospitalized due to methanol poisoning. The crisis has prompted the Istanbul governor's office to implement additional measures to curb the sale and consumption of bootleg alcohol. These measures include mandatory 24/7 high-resolution camera surveillance in businesses selling alcohol, effective from January 1, 2025, and the revocation of operating licenses for establishments found selling or serving counterfeit or illegal alcohol. Since January 1, authorities have seized 29 tons of counterfeit alcohol and revoked the licenses of 64 businesses. The methanol poisoning cases were reported across various districts, with 48 people still under treatment, 27 of whom are in intensive care on ventilators. Additionally, four patients have been discharged, one refused treatment, and two left the hospital without permission.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Camera surveillance • 25%
Business closures • 25%
Increased law enforcement • 25%
Public awareness campaigns • 25%
More than 120 • 25%
101 to 120 • 25%
80 to 100 • 25%
Less than 80 • 25%
Other • 25%
Ministry of Interior • 25%
Ministry of Health • 25%
Customs and Trade Ministry • 25%
All acquitted • 25%
Some acquitted, some convicted • 25%
All convicted • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Ankara • 25%
Istanbul • 25%
Other • 25%
Izmir • 25%
Smuggling • 25%
Illegal distilleries • 25%
Other • 25%
Adulteration of legitimate products • 25%
Increases above 10 • 25%
Increases to 7-10 • 25%
Remains at 6 • 25%
Decreases • 25%