Market
Will Iran launch a missile from the new underground naval base by June 30, 2025?
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Iran•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•Persian Gulf•United States•Israel•Donald Trump•IRGC•Hossein Salami
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified reports from military observers or official statements from Iran or other involved nations
Story
IRGC Navy Unveils 500-Meter Deep Underground Base with Missile-Equipped Boats Amid US, Israel Tensions
Jan 19, 2025, 01:00 AM
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy has unveiled a new underground naval base at an undisclosed location in the Persian Gulf, showcasing its strategic military capabilities. The base, located 500 meters below the surface, houses dozens of missile-equipped assault boats designed to launch long-range missiles and conduct distant warfare. This unveiling comes amid rising tensions with the United States and Israel, just two days before the start of Donald Trump's second term as president. IRGC Commander Major General Hossein Salami visited the base during ongoing war games, emphasizing its role in enhancing Iran's naval defense and deterrence in the region. The facility is part of a broader network of underground complexes aimed at protecting Iran's naval assets from potential airstrikes and bolstering its asymmetric warfare strategy.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Joint military exercises by Gulf states • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%