Market
Will IDF investigation reveal a technical failure in defense systems by February 28, 2025?
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Israel•Yemen•Israeli Air Force•Israeli•Yavne•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Yemeni Armed Forces•Islamic Resistance•Iraq•Iran•Houthi
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Findings from the IDF investigation or official reports published regarding the incident
Story
Drone from Yemen Hits Yavne Building in Israel; IDF Probes Warning Failure
Dec 9, 2024, 07:52 AM
Israel's military reported intercepting missiles fired from Yemen on December 7 and 8, 2024. The Israeli Air Force successfully shot down the projectiles before they entered Israeli airspace, and no damages or injuries were reported. On December 9, a drone launched from Yemen struck a residential building in the central Israeli city of Yavne, causing significant damage but no casualties. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) stated that the drone, which likely originated from Yemen, impacted the building without triggering air raid sirens. The incident is under investigation to determine why the drone was not detected and intercepted. The Yemeni Armed Forces announced that, in cooperation with the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, they targeted a vital location in southern Israel using drones. The attacks are believed to be carried out by Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen, marking the continuation of cross-border hostilities amidst heightened regional tensions.
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Similar markets
Classified/undisclosed • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
System overload • 25%
No clear cause identified • 25%
Technical failure identified • 25%
Human error identified • 25%
Both technical and human error • 25%
Missile intercepted but malfunction reported • 25%
No evidence of missile strike • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Houthi missile evaded defense systems • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
False alarm • 25%
Confirmed Houthi involvement • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Violation of Ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Justified Military Action • 25%
IDF not found at fault • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
IDF found at fault • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Justified military action • 25%
Mistake in targeting • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Human error • 25%
Security breach identified • 25%
Systematic failure • 25%
Other • 25%
