Market
Outcome of Israeli Defense Ministry investigation into missile strike by April 30, 2025?
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Yemeni Armed Forces•Houthi•Israeli Defense Ministry•Jaffa•Tel Aviv•Zulfiqar•Yahya Saree•Israeli•US•Eilat•Ashkelon•Red Sea•Gaza•Yemen
Resolution / Starting Odds
Houthi missile evaded defense systems • 25%
Missile intercepted but malfunction reported • 25%
No evidence of missile strike • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Official report or press release from the Israeli Defense Ministry
Story
Yemeni Houthis Claim High-Precision Zulfiqar Missile Strike on Israeli Defense Ministry in Jaffa, Evading Defense Systems
Jan 18, 2025, 01:21 PM
The Yemeni Armed Forces, led by the Houthi group, have claimed responsibility for a ballistic missile attack targeting what they describe as the Israeli Defense Ministry in the occupied area of Jaffa, near Tel Aviv. The attack was carried out using a 'Zulfiqar' missile, and according to Houthi military spokesperson Yahya Saree, the missile struck its target with high precision, evading Israeli defense systems. This operation was part of a broader series of retaliatory actions against Israeli and US targets, which included four cruise missile strikes on vital targets in Eilat, three drone attacks on targets in Jaffa and Ashkelon, and an assault on the USS Harry S. Truman in the Red Sea. These actions are in response to the ongoing conflict in Gaza and perceived aggression against Yemen.
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Mistake in targeting • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Other • 25%
Justified military action • 25%
False alarm • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Confirmed Houthi involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Justified Military Action • 25%
Violation of Ceasefire • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Human error • 25%
Classified/undisclosed • 25%
System overload • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Insufficient intelligence • 25%
Other • 25%
No clear cause identified • 25%
Both technical and human error • 25%
Human error identified • 25%
Technical failure identified • 25%
IDF found at fault • 25%
IDF not found at fault • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Investigation not completed • 25%
Justified under self-defense • 25%
No conclusion reached • 25%
Mistake acknowledged • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Denies involvement • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Admits responsibility • 25%
Blames external factors • 25%
Confirmed civilian target • 25%
Confirmed military target • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Mixed target • 25%