Market
Will foreign gang members be expelled by Trump administration by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports or statements from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) or the Department of Homeland Security
Story
Trump to Immediately Designate Drug Cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations and Expel Foreign Gang Members on January 20, 2025
Dec 22, 2024, 07:31 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that he will designate drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations upon taking office on January 20, 2025. During a forum held by the conservative organization Turning Point in Phoenix, Trump stated, "I will immediately designate the cartels as foreign terrorist organizations" and emphasized that all foreign gang members would be expelled. His remarks were part of a broader commitment to dismantle cartel operations in the United States. Trump reiterated his stance, confirming that this action would be one of his first priorities as president.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Partial expulsion • 25%
Successful expulsion • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Order blocked by courts • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other methods • 25%
Criminal records • 25%
Local law enforcement cooperation • 25%
Community reports • 25%
DHS • 25%
DOJ • 25%
ICE • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
