Market
Which U.S. federal agency will first take action in response to Trump's plan to expel foreign gang members by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
ICE • 25%
DOJ • 25%
DHS • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements or actions from U.S. federal agencies such as ICE, DOJ, or DHS
Story
Trump Plans to Designate Cartels as Terrorist Organizations in Phoenix, Expel Foreign Gang Members by January 20, 2025
Dec 22, 2024, 06:27 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced plans to designate drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations and expel all foreign gang members upon taking office. During a forum hosted by the conservative organization Turning Point in Phoenix, Trump stated, "I will immediately designate the cartels as foreign terrorist organizations" and emphasized that every foreign gang member would be expelled. He is set to assume the presidency on January 20, 2025.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Order blocked by courts • 25%
Successful expulsion • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Partial expulsion • 25%
California • 25%
Other states • 25%
Florida • 25%
Texas • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
Revocation of visas • 25%
Deportation • 25%
Other methods • 25%
Other methods • 25%
Community reports • 25%
Local law enforcement cooperation • 25%
Criminal records • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Mixed Focus • 25%
Non-criminal Migrants • 25%
Criminal Migrants • 25%
No Deportations Initiated • 25%