Market
Will Edmundo González Urrutia return to Venezuela by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified news reports or official statements confirming his presence in Venezuela
Story
Maduro Sworn In Amid Protests, Arrests; Opposition's González Urrutia Claims Presidency
Jan 10, 2025, 12:45 PM
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has been sworn in for a third term on January 10, 2025, amid protests from the opposition and allegations of electoral fraud in the July election. Thousands of opposition supporters have taken to the streets to protest against Maduro's inauguration, supporting opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia, who claims he won the election and vows to return to Venezuela to take office. The inauguration at the National Assembly took place under heavy military and police presence, following a new wave of arrests of opposition figures. The international community has widely condemned Maduro's new term, with many countries refusing to recognize his presidency and not attending the ceremony. Meanwhile, some foreign leaders, such as Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel, have arrived in Venezuela to support Maduro's inauguration, which will extend his rule until 2031.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Arrested • 25%
Remains in hiding • 25%
Leaves Venezuela again • 25%
Inaugurated as President • 25%
Returns safely • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Exiled again • 25%
Other • 25%
Returns but faces other outcomes • 25%
Successfully returns and assumes presidency • 25%
Returns but is arrested • 25%
Does not return • 25%
