Market
Will disloyal agents be purged from the FBI by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements or credible news reports indicating personnel changes within the FBI
Story
Trump's FBI Director to Shut Down Hoover Building, Reopen as Deep State Museum
Dec 1, 2024, 04:09 AM
US President-elect Donald Trump's newly appointed FBI director has proposed significant changes to the agency, including shutting down the FBI Hoover building. The director stated, 'I’d shut down the FBI Hoover building on Day 1 and reopen it the next day as a museum of the deep state.' This statement reflects a broader intention to reform the FBI, which the director believes has gained excessive power. He has also indicated plans to strip the bureau of its intelligence-gathering role and purge disloyal agents, signaling a shift in the agency's operational focus under Trump's administration.
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Partial dismissal with some agents retained • 25%
Reversal of dismissal decisions • 25%
No dismissals due to legal or political barriers • 25%
Successful dismissal of all targeted agents • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved Efficiency • 25%
Increased Politicization • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Christopher Wray Retained • 25%
No Change Announced • 25%
Kash Patel Appointed • 25%
New Nominee Announced • 25%
5 or more officials • 25%
3-4 officials • 25%
1-2 officials • 25%
None • 25%
