Market
Will the FBI implement significant policy changes under new leadership by the end of 2025?
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FBI•Christopher Wray•Joe Biden•Wray•Donald Trump•Kash Patel•Trump•Democrats•Republicans•Patel•Justice Department
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official FBI announcements or policy documents
Story
FBI Director Wray Resigns Amid Trump's Criticism, Patel's Controversial Nomination
Dec 12, 2024, 11:36 PM
FBI Director Christopher Wray has announced his resignation effective at the end of President Joe Biden's term, amid controversies surrounding his tenure. Wray's decision comes as President-elect Donald Trump has named Kash Patel as his choice to replace Wray, signaling a potential shift in the FBI's direction. Trump's pick has raised concerns among Democrats and some Republicans about the politicization of the FBI. Wray's exit is seen by critics as an attempt to avoid a public battle with Trump, who has criticized Wray for not being loyal enough. Key issues during Wray's tenure include the FBI's handling of the January 6 Capitol riot, where it was revealed that at least 26 FBI informants were present, and allegations of the FBI's involvement in political investigations. Wray's resignation has sparked a debate over the future independence and integrity of the FBI under Patel's potential leadership, who has a controversial background and has vowed to 'destroy' the bureau and the Justice Department.
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Major restructuring • 25%
Closure of Washington HQ • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other leadership changes • 25%
Director resigns • 25%
Director replaced • 25%
Current director remains • 25%
Kash Patel Appointed • 25%
New Nominee Announced • 25%
No Change Announced • 25%
Christopher Wray Retained • 25%
New communication protocols • 25%
No changes • 25%
Increased training for agents • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Expansion of surveillance capabilities • 25%
Other • 25%
Reduction in DEI initiatives • 25%
Increased focus on national security • 25%
Minor procedural changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Major policy overhaul • 25%
Other changes • 25%