Market
Will China publicly respond to the Australia-Nauru treaty by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Chinese government or major Chinese state media outlets
Story
Australia Gains Veto over Nauru Security in AU$140 Million Treaty to Counter China
Dec 9, 2024, 04:57 AM
Australia has signed a landmark security and economic treaty with the Pacific island nation of Nauru, aiming to counter China's growing influence in the region. The AU$140 million ($90 million) agreement includes AU$100 million in direct budget support and AU$40 million for policing and security over five years. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese met with Nauru's President David Adeang in Canberra to sign the treaty, which grants Australia effective veto powers over Nauru's security and infrastructure partnerships. The treaty ensures the development of critical infrastructure for Nauru and strengthens ties between the two nations as Australia seeks to bolster its presence in the Pacific.
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Unresolved • 25%
Resolved amicably • 25%
Escalated to international forum • 25%
Led to treaty amendment • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Retaliatory Measures • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Request for Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Denial of Involvement • 25%
ASEAN diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Denies involvement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Admits involvement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%