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Will any sanctuary city publicly announce compliance with federal immigration enforcement by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news outlets or official government announcements
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Trump's Justice Department Orders Prosecutors to Target Officials Obstructing Immigration Enforcement
Jan 22, 2025, 02:22 PM
The U.S. Justice Department, under the Trump administration, has directed federal prosecutors nationwide to investigate and potentially prosecute state and local officials who obstruct federal immigration enforcement efforts, including those in sanctuary cities. According to an internal memo obtained by The Associated Press, Reuters, and Bloomberg Law, Acting Deputy Attorney General Emil Bove instructed all U.S. Attorneys' offices to "take all appropriate actions" against officials who resist or fail to comply with lawful immigration-related commands and requests, including mass deportation initiatives. The memo states that any declination to prosecute must be documented in an urgent memo. The administration is also preparing to challenge sanctuary laws in court as it intensifies enforcement of immigration laws.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mixed changes • 25%
Strengthening of policies • 25%
Weakening of policies • 25%
No change • 25%
Seattle • 25%
Portland • 25%
San Francisco • 25%
Boston • 25%
No Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Decrease in Sanctuary Policies • 25%
Increase in Sanctuary Policies • 25%
Increase in sanctuary cities • 25%
Decrease in sanctuary cities • 25%
Reversal of sanctuary policies • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Compliance with federal policies • 25%
Increased legal challenges • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Public protests • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Supportive response • 25%
Critical response • 25%
No response • 25%