Market
Will a Republican-Democrat coalition be formed in the Texas House by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Texas House members or credible news reports
Story
Dade Phelan Drops Out of Texas House Speaker Race, Dustin Burrows Seeks Democrat Support
Dec 6, 2024, 02:08 PM
Texas House Speaker Dade Phelan has withdrawn from the race for a third term as Speaker of the Texas House. This decision comes after months of internal party conflict and speculation about his political future. Phelan's withdrawal was confirmed by multiple sources, including his own statement and reports from various news outlets. The move has sparked discussions about potential replacements, with Representative Dustin Burrows emerging as a candidate actively seeking support from both Republican and Democrat lawmakers. Burrows' efforts are seen as an attempt to secure a coalition that could include Democrats, potentially leading to a shift in the balance of power within the GOP-dominated chamber. There is also mention of trial lawyers wanting Democrat committee chairs.
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Similar markets
A Democrat elected • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Another Republican elected • 25%
Dustin Burrows re-elected • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Republican • 33%
Democrat • 33%
Other/Coalition • 34%
Control remains unchanged • 33%
Other outcome • 1%
Republicans maintain control • 33%
Democrats gain control • 33%
SPD and Greens • 25%
SPD and CDU/CSU • 25%
CDU/CSU and FDP • 25%
Other • 25%
Bipartisan Coalition • 25%
Moderate Republicans • 25%
Far-right Republicans • 25%
Democrats • 25%
Passed • 33%
Postponed • 34%
Failed • 33%
Only Senate • 25%
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Yes, both Senate and House • 25%
Only House • 25%