Will a ceasefire agreement be reached between M23 rebels and DRC by June 30, 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the DRC government or international organizations involved in mediation
Rwanda-Backed M23 Rebels Seize Goma, Vow March to Kinshasa
Jan 30, 2025, 10:11 AM
M23 rebels, allegedly backed by Rwanda, have taken control of the key eastern city of Goma in the Democratic Republic of Congo and declared their intention to march on the capital, Kinshasa. Congolese President Felix Tshisekedi has called for national mobilization, urging citizens to enlist in the army, and promised a 'vigorous response' to the invasion. The situation has prompted significant concern from neighboring countries and international organizations. Angola's President Joao Lourenco has called for the immediate withdrawal of Rwandan forces from the DRC and urged an urgent summit to address the escalating conflict. The East African Community has demanded an 'immediate and unconditional ceasefire,' while the Southern African Development Community is convening an emergency summit in Harare to discuss the crisis. France's Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot visited Kinshasa and called on Rwandan forces to 'instantly withdraw' from the DRC. The United Nations has expressed deep concern over the worsening humanitarian situation as thousands flee Goma, and reported that Rwandan troops may be moving towards Bukavu. South Africa's Defence Minister Angie Motshekga has warned that firing upon South African troops will be seen as a declaration of war.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
International Mediation • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
M23 controls Goma • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Congolese forces reclaim Goma • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Other country • 25%
France • 25%
United States • 25%
South Africa • 25%
African Union • 25%
United States • 25%
France • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Sanctions on Rwanda • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Peacekeeping forces deployed • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
100,000 to 150,000 • 25%
More than 150,000 • 25%
Less than 50,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
Mediation talks initiated • 25%
UN peacekeeping mission deployed • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Rwanda • 25%