Market
Who will primarily own TikTok by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
ByteDance • 25%
A U.S. company • 25%
Joint U.S.-Chinese ownership • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from TikTok or involved parties, verified by major news outlets
Story
After 12-Hour Ban, President Trump Delays TikTok Ban for 75 Days
Jan 21, 2025, 01:21 AM
President Donald Trump, who took office on January 20, signed an executive order on Monday delaying the ban on TikTok in the United States for 75 days. The ban had initially gone into effect on January 19, resulting in TikTok being banned for 12 hours. The order instructs the Department of Justice not to enforce the law banning TikTok during this period, giving the social media platform more time to find a U.S. buyer or reach a deal. President Trump suggested that TikTok could be partially owned by the United States, proposing that the U.S. should own 'half' of the platform, though it is unclear if this would involve the government or a private entity. He stated, 'I have the right to sell it or close it.' The executive order aims to allow the administration to determine an appropriate course of action that protects national security while avoiding an abrupt shutdown of a platform used by millions of Americans.
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US Government • 25%
ByteDance • 25%
Other US Company • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Another U.S. entity • 25%
Project Liberty • 25%
Kevin O'Leary and Frank McCourt • 25%
Another non-Chinese entity • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Shut down in US • 25%
Another American company • 25%
Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Owned by Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Owned by another U.S. entity • 25%
No Acquisition • 25%
Larry Ellison • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Other Buyer • 25%
Other • 25%
International consortium • 25%
Remain under ByteDance • 25%
US-based company • 25%
ByteDance and U.S. Government Entity • 25%
Other Stakeholders • 25%
ByteDance and U.S. Investment Firm • 25%
ByteDance and U.S. Tech Company • 25%
Sold to multiple buyers • 25%
Remains with current ownership • 25%
Sold to a single buyer • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance • 25%
Other • 25%
US Government • 25%
Elon Musk's X • 25%
Elon Musk's X • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Google • 25%
Other • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Joint U.S.-Chinese ownership • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%