Market
Who will control the Murdoch family trust after the appeal process by end of 2025?
2
Rupert Murdoch•Lachlan Murdoch•Fox News•Nevada•Edmund Gorman•Murdoch•The New York Times•Rupert•Prudence•Elisabeth
Resolution / Starting Odds
Rupert Murdoch retains control • 25%
Lachlan Murdoch gains control • 25%
Control shared equally among children • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Public records or statements from the Murdoch family or legal representatives
Story
Nevada Commissioner Rejects Murdoch's Bid to Install Lachlan and Lock in Fox News's Right-Wing Slant
Dec 9, 2024, 09:14 PM
Rupert Murdoch has failed in his bid to change his family trust to consolidate control of his media empire under his eldest son Lachlan Murdoch and lock in Fox News's right-wing editorial slant. A Nevada probate commissioner, Edmund Gorman, ruled resoundingly against Murdoch's attempt, characterizing the plan as a "carefully crafted charade" to "permanently cement Lachlan Murdoch's executive roles" within the empire, according to a sealed 96-page court document obtained by The New York Times. The commissioner concluded that Rupert and Lachlan Murdoch had acted in "bad faith" in their effort to amend the irrevocable trust. The opinion "eviscerated" Rupert and Lachlan Murdoch. Murdoch plans to appeal the ruling. Murdoch's other children—Prudence, Elisabeth, and James—welcomed the decision and expressed hope for strengthening family relationships. The ruling prevents Rupert Murdoch from altering the trust that controls Fox Corp. and News Corp., thereby maintaining the current succession structure.
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Similar markets
Trust structure changes to another arrangement • 25%
Trust remains equally divided • 25%
Lachlan gains sole control • 25%
Another child gains sole control • 25%
Appeal withdrawn • 25%
No appeal filed • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful • 25%
Appeal successful • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Rupert Murdoch • 25%
Lachlan Murdoch • 25%
James Murdoch • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Shared Control among Family • 25%
External Leadership • 25%
No Change in Control • 25%
Lachlan Consolidates Control • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Elisabeth Murdoch • 25%
James Murdoch • 25%
Lachlan Murdoch • 25%
Prudence Murdoch • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Settlement Reached • 34%
Appeal Unsuccessful • 33%
Appeal Successful • 33%
Legal ruling • 25%
Family decision • 25%
Business strategy • 25%
Other • 25%