Market
What will be the outcome of the Murdoch family trust control dispute by December 31, 2025?
2
Rupert Murdoch•Lachlan Murdoch•Nevada•Murdoch•Fox News•Lachlan•James•Elisabeth•Prudence•HBO•Succession
Resolution / Starting Odds
Lachlan gains sole control • 25%
Trust remains equally divided • 25%
Another child gains sole control • 25%
Trust structure changes to another arrangement • 25%
Court filings or verified news reports
Story
Court Rejects Rupert Murdoch's Bid to Give Son Lachlan Sole Control of Fox News
Dec 10, 2024, 09:54 AM
Rupert Murdoch has lost a legal battle to alter his family trust to grant sole control of his media empire to his eldest son, Lachlan Murdoch. A Nevada probate commissioner rejected Murdoch's attempt, citing 'bad faith' actions and deeming it a 'carefully crafted charade'. The proposed change would have shifted control of assets, including Fox News, solely to Lachlan upon Murdoch's death, rather than dividing it equally among his four children—Lachlan, James, Elisabeth, and Prudence, as the trust currently stipulates. The other three children opposed the change and welcomed the court's decision. The case drew comparisons to the HBO drama 'Succession', mirroring the fictional family's struggles over media empire control. Court documents also revealed that the Murdoch children had begun discussing a PR strategy for their father's death after watching 'Succession'.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No appeal filed • 25%
Appeal withdrawn • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful • 25%
Appeal successful • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Control shared equally among children • 25%
Lachlan Murdoch gains control • 25%
Rupert Murdoch retains control • 25%
Lachlan Murdoch • 25%
Other • 25%
Rupert Murdoch • 25%
James Murdoch • 25%
Appeal Unsuccessful • 33%
Appeal Successful • 33%
Out of Court Settlement • 34%
Other • 25%
Family decision • 25%
Business strategy • 25%
Legal ruling • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Settlement Reached • 34%
Appeal Successful • 33%
Appeal Unsuccessful • 33%
Prudence Murdoch • 25%
Lachlan Murdoch • 25%
Elisabeth Murdoch • 25%
James Murdoch • 25%
Shared Control among Family • 25%
No Change in Control • 25%
External Leadership • 25%
Lachlan Consolidates Control • 25%