Market
Who will be the lead oversight entity of TikTok's operations post-takeover by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Oracle • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Joint oversight • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Official announcements from Oracle, Microsoft, ByteDance, or major financial news outlets
Story
Trump Administration Negotiates Oracle, Microsoft Takeover of TikTok Valued Over $200 Billion
Jan 25, 2025, 11:30 PM
The Trump administration is negotiating a deal for Oracle and a group of US investors to take control of TikTok's global operations, according to reports from NPR and other sources. Under the proposed plan, ByteDance, TikTok's China-based owner, would retain a minority stake, while Oracle would oversee the app's algorithm, data collection, and software updates. Microsoft is also reported to be involved in the talks. ByteDance values TikTok at over $200 billion. This follows a previous deal in 2020, in which Trump backed an acquisition of TikTok by Oracle and Walmart that ultimately fell apart.
View original story
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ByteDance • 25%
US Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Elon Musk's X • 25%
Consortium of investors • 25%
Other entity • 25%
ByteDance • 25%
US-based company • 25%
Joint venture • 25%
U.S. company • 25%
ByteDance • 25%
Other • 25%
Another U.S. entity • 25%
Project Liberty • 25%
Other • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Oracle • 25%
U.S. private equity firm • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Other • 25%
Another American investor group • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
MrBeast and Jesse Tinsley's group • 25%
U.S. company • 25%
Consortium of investors • 25%
Other • 25%
ByteDance • 25%
Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Another American company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Shut down in US • 25%
ByteDance and U.S. Government Entity • 25%
Other Stakeholders • 25%
ByteDance and U.S. Investment Firm • 25%
ByteDance and U.S. Tech Company • 25%
Owned by another U.S. entity • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Owned by Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Other • 1%
Microsoft • 33%
ByteDance • 33%
Oracle • 33%
Kevin O'Leary and Frank McCourt • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Another non-Chinese entity • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%