Market
Who will be identified as responsible for Austin Tice's abduction by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Syrian government • 25%
Rebel group • 25%
Terrorist organization • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Official U.S. government statements or credible news reports
Story
Biden Believes U.S. Marine Corps Veteran Austin Tice Is Alive, Calls for Assad's Accountability
Dec 8, 2024, 06:54 PM
President Joe Biden has expressed the U.S. government's belief that Austin Tice, an American journalist kidnapped in Syria in August 2012, remains alive. Speaking on the matter, Biden stated that while there is no direct evidence yet, efforts are ongoing to identify Tice's location to facilitate his return. Tice, a former U.S. Marine Corps veteran, was abducted while covering the Syrian civil war. Biden emphasized the commitment to bringing Tice back to his family and indicated that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad should be held accountable for Tice's situation.
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Other entity • 25%
Russian Government • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
U.S. Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Tice found alive • 25%
Tice confirmed deceased • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Confirmed alive but not released • 25%
Released • 25%
Confirmed deceased • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Other • 25%
No progress reported • 25%
Location confirmed, not released • 25%
Released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains in Syria • 25%
Returned to the U.S. • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
