Market
Which entity will play a significant role in resolving Austin Tice's case by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russian Government • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
U.S. Government • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Statements from involved parties or credible news reports
Story
Putin to Ask Assad About Missing U.S. Journalist Austin Tice After Mother's Appeal, As White House Seeks Leads
Dec 19, 2024, 10:34 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that he plans to meet with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, who has arrived in Moscow, to discuss the fate of missing American journalist Austin Tice. Tice, a former U.S. Marine and freelance journalist, was abducted during a reporting trip in Syria in 2012 and is one of the longest-held American hostages abroad. Putin's statement follows an appeal from Tice's mother, Debra Tice, who sent a letter to Putin requesting his assistance in finding her son, citing his influence with the Syrian government. Additionally, reports indicate that the White House provided Syrian rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham with a list of former Assad regime officials who might have knowledge about Tice's whereabouts.
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Similar markets
Rebel group • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Terrorist organization • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Tice found alive • 25%
Tice confirmed deceased • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Location confirmed, not released • 25%
Released • 25%
No progress reported • 25%
Family of Austin Tice • 25%
U.S. Government • 25%
Other source • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Sanctions or other economic measures • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Released • 25%
Confirmed alive but not released • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Confirmed deceased • 25%
