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Which state will take the next legal action on the ERA by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Virginia • 25%
Illinois • 25%
Nevada • 25%
Other • 25%
State government announcements or legal filings
Story
Biden Declares ERA the 28th Amendment After Three States' Approval, But Archivist Refuses Certification
Jan 17, 2025, 03:04 PM
President Joe Biden, in a statement released days before leaving office, declared his belief that the Equal Rights Amendment (ERA) has been ratified and should be considered the 28th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. Biden emphasized his 50-year support for the amendment, which he says guarantees equal rights and protections under the law regardless of sex. The ERA, which would prohibit discrimination based on gender, was ratified by Virginia in 2020, becoming the 38th state to do so after recent approvals by three states, meeting the constitutional threshold for ratification. However, Biden's statement does not carry legal force, and he has not directed the Archivist of the United States to publish the amendment officially, despite the Archivist's refusal to certify it due to a missed congressional deadline for ratification.
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Other state • 25%
Nevada • 25%
Illinois • 25%
Virginia • 25%
Additional states ratify ERA • 25%
Some states rescind ratification • 25%
No change in state ratifications • 25%
Other developments • 25%
State Governments • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Federal Courts • 25%
U.S. Congress • 25%
Other state • 25%
Illinois • 25%
Virginia • 25%
Nevada • 25%
1-2 states change stance • 25%
5 or more states change stance • 25%
3-4 states change stance • 25%
0 states change stance • 25%
ERA not recognized • 25%
Partial recognition with conditions • 25%
No decision made • 25%
ERA recognized as 28th Amendment • 25%
ERA not recognized • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ongoing legal proceedings • 25%
ERA recognized as 28th Amendment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Further action required by Congress • 25%
ERA recognized as ratified • 25%
ERA not recognized as ratified • 25%
Nevada • 25%
No state challenges • 25%
Virginia • 25%
Illinois • 25%
Exactly 38 states • 25%
Recognition revoked • 25%
Less than 38 states • 25%
More than 38 states • 25%