Market
Which senator had the most influence in Hegseth's confirmation by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Thom Tillis • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
Lindsey Graham • 25%
Other • 25%
News reports or official statements
Story
Sen. Tillis Assures Witness of Hegseth's Alleged Abuse, Votes Yes on Pentagon Confirmation
Jan 28, 2025, 01:37 AM
Sen. Thom Tillis (R., N.C.) assured a witness, Pete Hegseth’s former sister-in-law, that her sworn statement regarding Hegseth's alleged alcohol abuse and abusive behavior towards his second wife could sway Republican senators to oppose Hegseth's confirmation to lead the Pentagon. Despite this assurance, Tillis voted in favor of Hegseth, ultimately clinching his confirmation to lead the Pentagon. The witness was led to believe that her statement would carry weight and potentially move three votes, including Tillis's, against the nomination. However, Tillis's vote in favor of Hegseth suggests that the allegations were deemed unsupported.
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Oppose • 25%
Support • 25%
Undecided • 25%
Abstain • 25%
Susan Collins • 25%
Lisa Murkowski • 25%
Other • 25%
Mitt Romney • 25%
Confirmed along party lines • 25%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
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Rejected with bipartisan opposition • 25%
Moderate Influence • 25%
No Influence • 25%
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Susan Collins • 25%
Lisa Murkowski • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
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16 or more Senators • 25%
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Confirmed with over 60 votes • 25%
Vote delayed beyond March 31, 2025 • 25%
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Strictly party-line vote • 25%
More than 10 Democrats support • 25%
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