Market
Which Republican Senator will likely oppose Hegseth in future votes by end of 2025?
3
Pete Hegseth•Fox News•Senate•Republican•Mitch McConnell•Susan Collins•Lisa Murkowski•Democrats•Hegseth•Donald Trump•Cabinet•the Pentagon
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mitch McConnell • 25%
Susan Collins • 25%
Lisa Murkowski • 25%
Other • 25%
Official voting records or credible news reports
Story
Pete Hegseth Confirmed as Defense Secretary After VP Vance Breaks 51-50 Tie
Jan 25, 2025, 02:54 AM
Pete Hegseth, a former Fox News host and military veteran, has been confirmed as the new U.S. Secretary of Defense after a narrow Senate vote. The final tally was 51-50, with Vice President J.D. Vance casting the tie-breaking vote—the first time a Vice President has broken a tie for a Cabinet-level confirmation. Three Republican Senators—Mitch McConnell, Susan Collins, and Lisa Murkowski—joined all Democrats in opposing the nomination. Hegseth's confirmation follows a contentious two-month battle amid allegations of sexual misconduct, financial mismanagement, and excessive drinking. President Donald Trump staunchly backed Hegseth despite the controversies, making him the third member of his Cabinet to be confirmed. Hegseth is expected to implement significant reforms at the Pentagon.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
6-10 Senators • 25%
0-5 Senators • 25%
16 or more Senators • 25%
11-15 Senators • 25%
Other Democrat • 25%
Susan Collins • 25%
Lisa Murkowski • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
One or none • 25%
Two • 25%
Three • 25%
Four or more • 25%
None • 25%
Lisa Murkowski • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
Susan Collins • 25%
11 to 15 • 25%
Less than 6 • 25%
6 to 10 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
Four or more • 25%
Two • 25%
Three • 25%
One or none • 25%
Other • 25%
Susan Collins • 25%
Lisa Murkowski • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
Another Republican senator • 25%
Susan Collins • 25%
No other GOP senator • 25%
