Market
Will Pete Hegseth implement significant Pentagon reforms by end of 2025?
3
Pete Hegseth•Fox News•Senate•Republican•Mitch McConnell•Susan Collins•Lisa Murkowski•Democrats•Hegseth•Donald Trump•Cabinet•the Pentagon
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Pentagon or credible news outlets
Story
Pete Hegseth Confirmed as Defense Secretary After VP Vance Breaks 51-50 Tie
Jan 25, 2025, 02:54 AM
Pete Hegseth, a former Fox News host and military veteran, has been confirmed as the new U.S. Secretary of Defense after a narrow Senate vote. The final tally was 51-50, with Vice President J.D. Vance casting the tie-breaking vote—the first time a Vice President has broken a tie for a Cabinet-level confirmation. Three Republican Senators—Mitch McConnell, Susan Collins, and Lisa Murkowski—joined all Democrats in opposing the nomination. Hegseth's confirmation follows a contentious two-month battle amid allegations of sexual misconduct, financial mismanagement, and excessive drinking. President Donald Trump staunchly backed Hegseth despite the controversies, making him the third member of his Cabinet to be confirmed. Hegseth is expected to implement significant reforms at the Pentagon.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other impacts • 25%
Major policy shift on women in combat • 25%
Increased focus on 'warrior culture' • 25%
No significant policy changes • 25%
New Military Alliances • 25%
Other • 25%
Military Restructuring • 25%
Increased Defense Budget • 25%
Reduction of overseas military engagements • 25%
Other • 25%
Enhanced military readiness against China • 25%
Increased defense spending • 25%
Military budget increase • 25%
Reduction in overseas deployments • 25%
Other • 25%
Focus on IndoPacific region • 25%
Increase in defense budget • 25%
Other • 25%
Military readiness enhancement • 25%
Reduction of Pentagon bureaucracy • 25%
International Defense Cooperation • 25%
Cybersecurity Initiatives • 25%
Defense Budget Reallocation • 25%
Military Personnel Policy • 25%
Restoration of Base Names • 25%
Iron Dome Defense System • 25%
Other • 25%
Military Recruitment Overhaul • 25%