Market
Which organization will take over WHO's role in US global health initiatives by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) • 25%
USAID (United States Agency for International Development) • 25%
Private Health Organizations • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from US government or relevant health organizations
Story
Trump Initiates Second US Withdrawal from WHO, Citing $1.3 Billion in Funding
Jan 22, 2025, 02:00 PM
President Donald Trump has initiated the process to withdraw the United States from the World Health Organization (WHO) for the second time in less than five years, a move that has raised concerns among public health experts. The decision, announced on his first day back in the White House, aims to pause future U.S. government funding to WHO, recall and reassign federal personnel and contractors working with the organization, and identify alternative partners to take over activities previously managed by WHO. The withdrawal process requires a 12 months notice as per a 1948 joint resolution. Experts warn that this withdrawal could weaken global defenses against new disease outbreaks and potentially increase the risk of pandemics. The U.S. has historically been a major donor to WHO, contributing between $160 million and $815 million annually over the last decade, with a total of $1.3 billion in funding for 2022-2023. The withdrawal could severely impact WHO's budget and its ability to coordinate global health responses, including efforts to eradicate diseases like polio and manage maternal and child health programs.
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Other • 25%
Pan American Health Organization • 25%
Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance • 25%
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • 25%
With BRICS nations • 25%
With European Union • 25%
No new partnership • 25%
With G7 countries • 25%
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • 25%
GAVI, the Vaccine Alliance • 25%
The Global Fund • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
US declines participation • 25%
US participates in new initiative • 25%
No new initiatives announced • 25%
New health programs • 25%
No new initiatives • 25%
Public awareness campaigns • 25%
New funding partnerships • 25%
White House Representative • 25%
No appointment • 25%
State Department Official • 25%
Health and Human Services Secretary • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Plans for restructuring WHO funding • 25%
Calls for increased funding from other nations • 25%
Criticism of the U.S. decision • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Germany • 25%
Vaccination programs • 25%
Health research • 25%
Pandemic response • 25%
Other • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Severe impact on global health initiatives • 25%
Minimal impact, operations continue smoothly • 25%
Moderate impact with some initiatives affected • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Regional alliances • 25%
No new partnerships • 25%
Bilateral partnerships • 25%
Other • 25%