Market
Which organization will lead the first US Mars mission by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
NASA • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
Joint NASA-SpaceX • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from NASA, SpaceX, or the U.S. government
Story
Trump Vows to Send Astronauts to Mars to Plant U.S. Flag, Pursue 'Manifest Destiny'
Jan 20, 2025, 05:42 PM
President Donald Trump announced plans to send American astronauts to Mars to plant the Stars and Stripes, emphasizing a new commitment to space exploration during his inaugural address. He stated, "We will pursue our manifest destiny into the stars, launching American astronauts to plant the Stars and Stripes on the planet Mars." Trump also declared that "the United States will once again consider itself a growing nation," aiming to "expand our territory" into new frontiers. Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX, was present and reportedly reacted positively to the announcement.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Resource Extraction • 25%
Colonization • 25%
International Collaboration • 25%
Scientific Research • 25%
2031-2033 • 25%
2034 or later • 25%
2025-2027 • 25%
2028-2030 • 25%
Russian Space Agency • 25%
Other • 25%
European Space Agency • 25%
China National Space Administration • 25%
Space Tourism Initiative • 25%
Mars Exploration • 25%
Lunar Mission • 25%
Other • 25%
Other space agencies • 25%
ESA (European Space Agency) • 25%
NASA • 25%
CNSA (China National Space Administration) • 25%
Spain • 25%
India • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
European Union • 25%
Manned Moon Mission • 25%
Other • 25%
Mars Exploration Initiative • 25%
Space Station Expansion • 25%