Market
Which leader will mention ICC warrant against Netanyahu at Auschwitz ceremony on Jan 27, 2025?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Auschwitz•Poland•International Criminal Court•ICC•Netanyahu•Gallant•Charles•Britain•Polish•Isaac Herzog
Resolution / Starting Odds
King Charles of Britain • 25%
US President • 25%
German Chancellor • 25%
Other or No Mention • 25%
Speech transcripts and media coverage of the ceremony
Story
Netanyahu to Skip 80th Anniversary of Auschwitz Liberation in Poland on January 27 Over ICC Arrest Fears
Dec 20, 2024, 10:49 AM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will not attend the ceremony marking the 80th anniversary of the liberation of Auschwitz in Poland, due to fears of arrest stemming from an International Criminal Court (ICC) warrant. The warrant, issued last month, obliges 124 ICC member states to arrest and extradite Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Gallant if they enter their territories. Poland's Deputy Foreign Minister stated that his country is committed to respecting the ICC's decisions. The ceremony, scheduled for January 27, is expected to be attended by dozens of world leaders, including King Charles of Britain. Israeli authorities have not contacted Polish officials regarding Netanyahu's attendance, anticipating Poland's stance on the ICC warrant. President Isaac Herzog is also expected to be absent from the event.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Other • 25%
Attends without incident • 25%
Attends but faces protests • 25%
Does not attend due to security concerns • 25%
Warrant withdrawn • 25%
Netanyahu arrested • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Netanyahu remains free • 25%
Majority oppose ICC actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed responses, no clear majority • 25%
Majority support ICC actions • 25%
No action • 25%
Warrants withdrawn • 25%
Warrants upheld • 25%
New warrants issued • 25%
