Market
Which entity will Italy finalize its telecom deal with by end of 2025?
2
Italy•Elon Musk•SpaceX•Italian•Europe•Italian military•Mediterranean•Starlink•Giorgia Meloni•Donald Trump•Florida•EU•IRIS²
Resolution / Starting Odds
SpaceX • 33%
EU's IRIS² • 33%
Italy's own satellite network • 33%
Other • 1%
Official announcements from the Italian government
Story
Italy in Advanced Talks With SpaceX for $1.6 Billion, Five-Year Secure Telecom Deal, Largest in Europe
Jan 5, 2025, 07:47 PM
Italy is in advanced talks with Elon Musk's SpaceX for a $1.6 billion, five-year deal to provide secure telecommunications services to the Italian government, marking the largest such project in Europe. The agreement includes high-level encryption for government phone and internet services, as well as communication services for the Italian military in the Mediterranean region and Starlink satellite services for emergency situations such as terrorist attacks or natural disasters. The project has been approved by Italy's intelligence services and defense ministry. The negotiations, which had been stalled until recently, gained momentum following a meeting between Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and U.S. President-elect Donald Trump in Florida. Italy is considering alternatives to the SpaceX deal, including the EU's IRIS² satellite constellation or developing its own satellite network, both of which would exceed €10 billion in costs.
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Similar markets
Iris² • 25%
Local Italian provider • 25%
Other international provider • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Contract signed with SpaceX • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No contract signed • 25%
Contract signed with Iris² • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
Deal postponed • 25%
Deal finalized with another provider • 25%
Deal finalized with SpaceX • 25%
Deal canceled • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal canceled • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%