Market
Will Italy decide to develop its own satellite network by end of 2025?
2
Italy•Elon Musk•SpaceX•Italian•Europe•Italian military•Mediterranean•Starlink•Giorgia Meloni•Donald Trump•Florida•EU•IRIS²
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Italian government
Story
Italy in Advanced Talks With SpaceX for $1.6 Billion, Five-Year Secure Telecom Deal, Largest in Europe
Jan 5, 2025, 07:47 PM
Italy is in advanced talks with Elon Musk's SpaceX for a $1.6 billion, five-year deal to provide secure telecommunications services to the Italian government, marking the largest such project in Europe. The agreement includes high-level encryption for government phone and internet services, as well as communication services for the Italian military in the Mediterranean region and Starlink satellite services for emergency situations such as terrorist attacks or natural disasters. The project has been approved by Italy's intelligence services and defense ministry. The negotiations, which had been stalled until recently, gained momentum following a meeting between Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and U.S. President-elect Donald Trump in Florida. Italy is considering alternatives to the SpaceX deal, including the EU's IRIS² satellite constellation or developing its own satellite network, both of which would exceed €10 billion in costs.
View original story
Similar markets
Use both • 25%
No decision • 25%
Develop own capabilities • 25%
Use IRIS • 25%
Contract with another private company • 25%
Project canceled • 25%
Development of a public alternative • 25%
Contract with SpaceX • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Contract signed with SpaceX • 25%
No contract signed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Contract signed with Iris² • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Deal postponed • 25%
Deal finalized with SpaceX • 25%
Deal canceled • 25%
Deal finalized with another provider • 25%
