Market
Which entities will be involved in the release of 737 Palestinian prisoners by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Israel and Palestinian Authority only • 25%
Israel, Palestinian Authority, and international mediators • 25%
Israel and a third-party country • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or international organizations
Story
Netanyahu: Gaza Ceasefire Temporary, Israel to Free 33 Hostages for 737 Prisoners
Jan 18, 2025, 06:36 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has stated that the ceasefire in Gaza, set to begin on Sunday, is temporary and that Israel retains the right to resume hostilities with U.S. support if necessary. Netanyahu emphasized that both President Joe Biden and President-elect Donald Trump have given Israel full backing to return to fighting if negotiations for the second phase of the ceasefire prove futile. He promised to meet all war goals, including the return of all hostages held in Gaza. The first phase of the ceasefire, lasting six weeks, will see the release of 33 hostages in exchange for 737 Palestinian prisoners. Netanyahu also mentioned that Trump has committed to lifting all remaining restrictions on U.S. munitions, enabling Israel to resume the war with significant force if needed.
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Israel • 33%
Equal number • 34%
Hamas • 33%
201 to 300 • 25%
100 to 200 • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
More than 300 • 25%
All 1000 prisoners released • 25%
No prisoners released • 25%
1-499 prisoners released • 25%
500-999 prisoners released • 25%
Both locations • 25%
West Bank • 25%
Other • 25%
East Jerusalem • 25%
101 to 200 • 25%
Up to 100 • 25%
201 to 300 • 25%
More than 300 • 25%
Less than 1,500 • 25%
1,500 to 1,700 • 25%
1,701 to 1,900 • 25%
More than 1,900 • 25%
Less than 500 • 25%
500 to 750 • 25%
751 to 1,000 • 25%
More than 1,000 • 25%
No prisoners released • 25%
Some prisoners released, some delays • 25%
All prisoners released as planned • 25%
Release canceled • 25%