Market
Which country or organization will first obtain new cooperation from China regarding COVID-19 origins by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
WHO • 25%
Other • 25%
official announcements from respective countries or WHO
Story
On Pandemic's 5th Anniversary, WHO Calls China's Cooperation a "Moral Imperative" in COVID-19 Origins
Dec 30, 2024, 06:03 PM
Five years after the initial outbreak of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China, the World Health Organization (WHO) has renewed its call for China to share data and cooperate in understanding the virus's origins, deeming it a "moral and scientific imperative." On December 30, 2019, Wuhan doctors Dr. Li Wenliang and Dr. Ai Fen raised alarms about a cluster of pneumonia cases linked to a SARS-related coronavirus. Dr. Li, who was later reprimanded by authorities and tragically died 39 days after his warning, had alerted colleagues via WeChat. Since the first cases were reported to the WHO on December 31, 2019, COVID-19 has resulted in over 777 million infections and 7 million deaths worldwide. The WHO continues to urge China for transparency to comprehend how the pandemic began.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
China and multiple countries • 25%
China only • 25%
China and US • 25%
No new collaborations • 25%
Data released but unverified • 25%
Other • 25%
No data released • 25%
Data released and verified • 25%
Animal market data • 25%
Other • 25%
Environmental samples • 25%
Laboratory data • 25%
Partial Data Shared • 25%
Ongoing Negotiations • 25%
No Data Shared • 25%
Data Fully Shared • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
China denies request • 25%
Joint investigation announced • 25%
No significant change • 25%
China provides new data • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%