Market
Which Biden ally will be first investigated by Trump administration by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Anthony Fauci • 25%
Liz Cheney • 25%
Adam Schiff • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or credible news reports confirming the investigation
Story
Biden Considers Preemptive Pardons for Democrats, Including Fauci, Cheney, and Schiff, Amid Trump Transition Concerns
Dec 6, 2024, 08:05 PM
White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre indicated that President Joe Biden is seriously considering 'preemptive pardons' for certain Democrats and officials. During a recent press briefing, she stated, 'Certainly the president is looking at, you know, reviewing next steps, and there'll be more to come.' This consideration arises amid concerns that President-elect Donald Trump's administration may target Biden's allies in investigations. Reports suggest that Biden might be contemplating pardons for notable figures, including Anthony Fauci, Liz Cheney, and Adam Schiff. The White House has not confirmed specific individuals but emphasizes that discussions are ongoing regarding potential pardons.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No specific agency identified • 25%
Other federal agency • 25%
FBI • 25%
Justice Department • 25%
No evidence of political persecution • 25%
Evidence leading to policy changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Some evidence, no action • 25%
Environment-related • 25%
Healthcare-related • 25%
Education-related • 25%
Immigration-related • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcomes • 25%
Investigation with no charges • 25%
Investigation leading to charges • 25%
No investigation • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Mark Meadows • 25%
Stephen Miller • 25%
Rudy Giuliani • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Foreign policy decisions • 25%
Biden's pardon powers • 25%
Hunter Biden's activities • 25%