Market
Which authority will decide the ERA status by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. Congress • 25%
Supreme Court • 25%
Federal Courts • 25%
State Legislatures • 25%
Official announcements or rulings from the specified legal authority
Story
Biden Declares Equal Rights Amendment Ratified, Citing Three States' Approvals After 50 Years of Support
Jan 17, 2025, 02:57 PM
President Joe Biden has announced his belief that the Equal Rights Amendment (ERA) should be considered a ratified addition to the U.S. Constitution. This declaration comes shortly before he leaves office and follows recent approvals of the amendment by three states, which Biden argues fulfills the necessary requirements for ratification. While he has long supported the ERA, stating that no one should face discrimination based on sex, White House officials clarified that he does not have a formal role in the ratification process and is not directing the archivist to take action on this matter. The archivist has indicated that Congress must act for the amendment to be formally published, placing Biden's announcement in the context of an ongoing legal and constitutional debate regarding gender equality.
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Judicial branch • 25%
Executive branch • 25%
No action • 25%
Legislative branch • 25%
None of the above • 25%
Supreme Court • 25%
National Archives and Records Administration • 25%
Congress • 25%
Presidential authority affirmed • 25%
No significant development • 25%
Mixed opinions with no consensus • 25%
Presidential authority denied • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Partial recognition with conditions • 25%
ERA not recognized • 25%
ERA recognized as 28th Amendment • 25%
Congressional action • 25%
No major developments • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
State-level actions • 25%
None • 25%
Executive • 25%
Legislative • 25%
Judicial • 25%
Further legal proceedings required • 25%
No ruling • 25%
ERA recognized as 28th Amendment • 25%
ERA not recognized • 25%
ERA recognized as ratified • 25%
ERA not recognized as ratified • 25%
Further action required by Congress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ongoing legal proceedings • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ERA recognized as 28th Amendment • 25%
ERA not recognized • 25%
