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Where will Israel's next major military action occur following recent threats by December 31, 2025?
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Israel Katz•Israel•Hamas•Ismail Haniyeh•Tehran•Katz•Yemen•Houthi•Houthis•Haniyeh•Sinwar•Nasrallah•Gaza•Lebanon•Hodeidah•Assad•Syria
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yemen • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from the Israeli government
Story
Israel's Katz Admits Killing Hamas Leader Haniyeh in Tehran, Threatens Houthi Leaders
Dec 23, 2024, 08:19 PM
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has publicly admitted for the first time that Israel was responsible for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on July 31. During a speech, Katz threatened Yemen's Houthi rebels, stating, "We will severely cripple the Houthis, damage their strategic infrastructure, and behead their leaders—just as we did with Haniyeh, Sinwar, and Nasrallah in Tehran, Gaza, and Lebanon." He warned, "We will do to Sana'a and Hodeidah what we did to Gaza, Lebanon, and Tehran." Katz also claimed that Israel "overthrew the Assad regime in Syria."
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Houthi Leadership in Yemen • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas Leadership in Gaza • 25%
Hezbollah Leadership in Lebanon • 25%
Hezbollah Leaders • 25%
Houthi Leaders • 25%
Iranian Military Assets • 25%
Other • 25%
No military action • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Air strikes on Iranian targets • 25%
Other military action • 25%
Retaliatory airstrike by Israel • 25%
Ballistic missile launch by Houthis • 25%
Drone attack by Houthis • 25%
Stalemate with no clear victor • 25%
Significant setbacks for Israel • 25%
Partial victory with ongoing conflicts • 25%
Complete victory over Iran and proxies • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Missile strike • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Another plane interception • 25%
Naval confrontation • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
Increased tensions with Russia • 25%
