Market
What will the FBI conclude about the mysterious drones by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Domestic hobbyist activity • 25%
Corporate or research entity • 25%
Government or military operation • 25%
Unknown or inconclusive • 25%
Official FBI report or public announcement
Story
Mysterious Drones Over New Jersey Deemed No Threat by FBI
Dec 15, 2024, 12:15 AM
Recent weeks have seen an increase in mysterious drone sightings over parts of the East Coast, particularly in New Jersey, sparking speculation and concern over their origin and purpose. New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy has sought answers from President Joe Biden, while Senator Andy Kim has actively participated in drone hunts. The drones, some as large as 6 feet in diameter, have been observed flying over critical infrastructure, including military facilities and reservoirs. Despite the public's growing anxiety, federal officials, including the FBI and the Pentagon, have stated that the drones do not pose a national security or public safety threat. The investigations into these sightings continue, with no evidence suggesting a foreign origin or malicious intent.
View original story
Similar markets
Operator not identified • 25%
Operator identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Identified as private individuals • 25%
Remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as domestic entity • 25%
Identified as foreign entity • 25%
Foreign espionage • 25%
Private entity • 25%
Unknown • 25%
National security test • 25%
Identified as foreign operators • 25%
Identified as domestic operators • 25%
Other • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Identified as foreign • 25%
Identified as domestic • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Other • 25%
Identified as commercial drones • 25%
Identified as hobbyist drones • 25%
Identified as foreign drones • 25%
Unidentified by deadline • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Identified foreign entity • 25%
Identified domestic entity • 25%
Other • 25%
Security Threat Identified • 25%
Other Conclusion • 25%
No Threat Detected • 25%
Investigation Inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as domestic • 25%
Identified as foreign • 25%
Technological Malfunction • 25%
National Security Threat • 25%
No Threat Identified • 25%
Other • 25%
