Market
What will RFK Jr.'s report conclude about vaccines-autism link by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Finds significant link • 25%
Finds no significant link • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Report not completed • 25%
Official publication or summary of the report
Story
Trump Orders Probe into Vaccines-Autism Link, Taps RFK Jr. for Report
Dec 16, 2024, 04:58 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to investigate the connection between childhood vaccinations and autism, a claim that has been debunked by scientific research. During a press conference at Mar-a-Lago, Trump stated that he has 'some very brilliant people' looking into the matter, emphasizing the need to understand why autism rates have increased significantly over the past few decades. He assured that no vaccines would be revoked, specifically mentioning the polio vaccine, and expressed his intent to have Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a known vaccine skeptic, provide a report on the issue.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Investigation incomplete • 25%
Vaccines not linked to autism • 25%
Investigation not completed • 25%
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No link found • 25%
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Inconclusive results • 25%
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Investigation not completed • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Vaccines linked to autism • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Insufficient data • 25%
Increased vaccine skepticism • 25%
Decreased vaccine skepticism • 25%
No significant change • 25%