Market
What will be the impact of RFK Jr.'s nomination on public opinion regarding vaccines by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased vaccine skepticism • 25%
Decreased vaccine skepticism • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Public opinion polls from reputable polling organizations
Story
77 Nobel Laureates Urge Senate to Reject RFK Jr. over Anti-Vaccine Stance
Dec 9, 2024, 11:20 PM
Seventy-seven Nobel Prize laureates have signed a letter on Monday urging U.S. senators to reject the confirmation of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services. The unprecedented move marks the first time in recent memory that Nobel laureates have united against a Cabinet nominee. The scientists express concerns over Kennedy's anti-vaccine stance, his opposition to public health measures like water chlorination, and his lack of scientific credentials. President-elect Donald Trump's nomination of Kennedy has sparked warnings that his appointment could jeopardize public health and undermine U.S. leadership in health sciences. "These political attacks on science are very damaging," Nobel laureate Dr. Richard Roberts said. "You have to stand up and protect it."
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Increase in trust • 25%
Decrease in trust • 25%
No change • 25%
Mixed results • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased confidence • 25%
Increased skepticism • 25%
More favorable • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
No change • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
Other • 25%
More favorable • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
No significant change • 34%
Decrease in support • 33%
Increase in support • 33%
Other outcome • 25%
Appointed and active • 25%
Appointed but inactive • 25%
Not appointed • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Pro-vaccine • 25%
Anti-vaccine • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Mostly favorable • 25%
Mostly unfavorable • 25%
No significant opinion • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Fluctuate without clear trend • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased distribution • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased distribution • 25%
Strong Support • 25%
Cautious Support • 25%
Concern • 25%
Strong Opposition • 25%