Market
What will public opinion polls indicate about Pete Hegseth's confirmation by January 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support • 33%
Majority oppose • 33%
Undecided/No majority • 34%
Poll results from reputable polling organizations
Story
Trump's Defense Nominee Hegseth Paid $50,000 to 'Jane Doe' in 2017 Sexual Assault Settlement
Jan 23, 2025, 11:18 PM
Pete Hegseth, President Donald Trump's nominee for defense secretary, disclosed during his confirmation process that he paid $50,000 in 2017 to settle a sexual assault accusation made by a woman referred to as "Jane Doe." The settlement included a nondisclosure agreement. The payment was revealed in answers provided to Senator Elizabeth Warren and obtained by the Associated Press and CNN. Hegseth maintains that the encounter was consensual and denies any wrongdoing, stating at his committee hearing that he was "falsely accused." His attorney explained that settling was more cost-effective than contesting the allegations in court. The disclosure has prompted calls for further scrutiny before his final confirmation vote scheduled on Friday.
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Similar markets
Majority support • 25%
Split opinion • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
No clear data • 25%
Majority Support • 25%
No Clear Majority • 25%
Majority Oppose • 25%
Evenly Split • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
Predominantly Positive • 25%
Predominantly Negative • 25%
Minimal Attention • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Confirmed without VP tiebreaker • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Nomination Withdrawn • 25%
Withdrawn • 34%
Vote delayed • 25%
Not Confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with VP tiebreaker • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Divided • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Divided • 25%
Positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Negative • 25%
Confirmed with majority Republican support • 25%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
Confirmation vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Not confirmed • 25%
Delayed • 34%
Vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed with Vice President's tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed without tie-breaking vote • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Vote delayed • 34%
Confirmed with majority • 33%
Rejected with majority • 33%
Confirmed with all GOP support • 25%
Confirmed with some GOP dissent • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%