Market
What will new research identify as primary health effects of Havana Syndrome by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Neurological symptoms • 25%
Psychological symptoms • 25%
Environmental factors • 25%
Unknown causes • 25%
Peer-reviewed medical research publications
Story
House CIA Subcommittee Suggests Foreign Adversary Behind Havana Syndrome, Criticizes Intel Community
Dec 5, 2024, 06:46 PM
The U.S. House Intelligence Subcommittee on the CIA has released an interim report suggesting that a foreign adversary is likely behind some of the Anomalous Health Incidents (AHIs), commonly known as Havana Syndrome. The report criticizes the U.S. Intelligence Community (IC) for allegedly hindering the subcommittee's investigation into these incidents. Despite previous claims by the IC that there was no evidence of foreign involvement, the subcommittee believes that foreign adversaries are responsible for some AHIs. This development marks a significant shift in the understanding of these mysterious health incidents affecting intelligence operatives and diplomats.
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Other • 25%
Foreign weapon confirmed • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Unknown cause • 25%
Another foreign adversary identified • 25%
Attacks deemed non-foreign • 25%
No conclusive perpetrator identified • 25%
Russia confirmed as perpetrator • 25%
Psychological factors • 25%
Environmental factors • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Foreign-directed energy weapon • 25%
Military Posture Changes • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
No foreign involvement • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Foreign adversary confirmed • 25%
No action • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Other • 25%
None identified • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Other Technology • 25%
Pulsed Electromagnetic Weapons • 25%
No Technology Identified • 25%
Acoustic Energy Weapons • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other/None Identified • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Cuba • 25%
Department of State • 25%
CIA • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Other • 25%
CIA • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Other agency • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%