Market
What will Chip Roy decide about his political career by the end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Texas•Chip Roy•Truth Social•Trump•Roy•Florida•Ron DeSantis•Republican Party•Republican•GOP
Resolution / Starting Odds
Runs for re-election • 25%
Announces retirement • 25%
Runs for a different office • 25%
No announcement by deadline • 25%
Official announcements from Chip Roy or his campaign, such as press releases or public statements.
Story
Trump Targets Texas Congressman Chip Roy for 2026 Primary Challenge, Calls Him 'Weak' in Spending Bill Battle
Dec 19, 2024, 07:48 PM
Former President Donald Trump has publicly targeted Texas Congressman Chip Roy, calling for him to face a primary challenge in the upcoming election cycle. In a series of posts on Truth Social, Trump described Roy as 'weak' and 'ineffective,' expressing hope that 'talented challengers' will emerge to contest Roy's seat. Trump's criticism stems from Roy's previous support for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis during the presidential election, which has led to tensions within the Republican Party. Trump emphasized that 'Republican obstructionists have to be done away with,' indicating dissatisfaction with Roy's actions, particularly in relation to the spending bill negotiations. This marks a notable shift in Trump's focus as he seeks to consolidate support among GOP members ahead of the 2026 elections.
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Similar markets
Re-elected • 25%
Defeated in primary • 25%
Defeated in general election • 25%
Does not run • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both Trump and Pence • 25%
Mike Pence • 25%
Debt ceiling raised without reforms • 25%
Debt ceiling raised with reforms • 25%
Debt ceiling not raised • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Mike Pence • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Ted Cruz • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant spending cuts • 25%
Increased spending • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Moderate spending cuts • 25%
Remains Out of Politics • 25%
Pursues Non-Political Career • 25%
Joins Political Advocacy • 25%
Returns to Politics • 25%
Appointed to a political position • 25%
Re-elected to office • 25%
Suspended/Expelled from party • 25%
Continues in politics • 25%
Runs for a different office • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Runs for office and loses • 25%