Market
What will be Matt Gaetz's political career status by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Continues in politics • 25%
Runs for a different office • 25%
Suspended/Expelled from party • 25%
Re-elected to office • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Runs for office and loses • 25%
Appointed to a political position • 25%
Official announcements or election results
Story
House Ethics Report Alleges Gaetz Paid for Sex with Minor, Used Drugs, Tried to Block Release
Dec 23, 2024, 04:08 PM
On December 23, 2024, the House Ethics Committee released a 37-page report detailing allegations against former Representative Matt Gaetz. The report found substantial evidence that Gaetz violated House rules and standards of conduct by allegedly paying tens of thousands of dollars for sex, including allegedly paying $400 to a 17-year-old girl, statutory rape, and illicit drug use—including cocaine and ecstasy—sometimes in his Capitol Hill office. It also cites acceptance of impermissible gifts, provision of special favors or privileges, and obstruction of Congress. Gaetz had earlier filed a lawsuit seeking a restraining order and temporary injunction to prevent the report's release but was unsuccessful. He has denied any wrongdoing.
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Similar markets
Elected to office • 25%
Withdrawn from politics • 25%
Running for office • 25%
No public office • 25%
Involved in legal proceedings • 25%
Holding office • 25%
Retired from politics • 25%
Running for office • 25%
Remains Out of Politics • 25%
Joins Political Advocacy • 25%
Pursues Non-Political Career • 25%
Returns to Politics • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Slightly worsened • 25%
Improved • 25%
Significantly worsened • 25%
Charged but not convicted • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Convicted of any charge • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Dismissal • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Not Charged • 25%
Charged and Not Convicted • 25%
Charged and Convicted • 25%
Investigation Dropped • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
More favorable • 25%
Less favorable • 25%