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What will be Trump's primary justification for pardoning Jan. 6 defendants?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Unfair treatment • 25%
Political persecution • 25%
Miscarriage of justice • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements or interviews from Trump or White House
Story
President-elect Trump on NBC Vows to "Act Very Quickly" to Pardon Jan. 6 Defendants on First Day
Dec 8, 2024, 03:07 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced in an interview with NBC's "Meet the Press" that he plans to act "very quickly" on his first day in office to "most likely" pardon individuals convicted for their roles in the January 6th, 2021 Capitol riot. Trump stated that "they've been in there for years" and are in "a filthy, disgusting place that shouldn't even be allowed to be open." He described the incarcerated individuals as "living in hell" and indicated he would review individual cases. Trump also asserted that members of the January 6th committee "should be jailed," but he would not seek a special prosecutor for President Biden.
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Similar markets
Reconciliation • 25%
Other • 25%
Political persecution • 25%
Judicial overreach • 25%
Unfair trials • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Provocation by external forces • 25%
Peaceful protest participation • 25%
All participants • 25%
All nonviolent participants • 25%
Selective pardons • 25%
No pardons • 25%
Pardons based on case-by-case review • 25%
No public clarification given • 25%
Only peaceful protesters pardoned • 25%
All non-violent participants pardoned • 25%
Family Considerations • 25%
Legal Precedent • 25%
Protecting Democracy • 25%
Preventing Authoritarianism • 25%
Political Pressure • 25%
Justice System Reform • 25%
Humanitarian Reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Legal reasons • 25%
Family reasons • 25%
Political strategy • 25%
Eric Munchel • 25%
Adam Johnson • 25%
Jacob Chansley • 25%
Other • 25%
Includes all categories • 25%
Includes some felonies • 25%
Nonviolent misdemeanors only • 25%
No pardons issued • 25%
