Market
Primary suspect in Brian Thompson's murder identified by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Luigi Mangione • 25%
Another identified suspect • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
Multiple suspects • 25%
Official statements from law enforcement agencies
Story
26-Year-Old Suspect in UnitedHealthcare CEO Murder Found with 3D-Printed Ghost Gun
Dec 9, 2024, 07:32 PM
Luigi Mangione, a 26-year-old tech whiz and person of interest in the fatal shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, was found carrying a 'ghost gun,' a firearm that can be made at home and is often untraceable. Authorities believe the weapon may have been created using a 3D printer. Ballistics tests are being conducted to determine if this gun was used in the killing. The investigation is ongoing, and police are working to confirm the connection between Mangione and the crime.
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Similar markets
Current 26-year-old suspect • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
Multiple individuals • 25%
Another individual • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal Acquaintance • 25%
Random Act • 25%
Business Rival • 25%
Business rival • 25%
Personal acquaintance • 25%
Unknown connection • 25%
Former employee • 25%
Identified as an employee of UnitedHealthcare • 25%
Identity remains unknown • 25%
Identified as a relative or acquaintance of Brian Thompson • 25%
Identified as a known criminal with no ties to UnitedHealthcare • 25%
Suspect released without charge • 25%
Suspect charged and convicted • 25%
Suspect charged but not convicted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Outside the US • 25%
New York • 25%
Another US State • 25%
Not apprehended by deadline • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Political Motivation • 25%
Personal Grudge • 25%
Financial Gain • 25%
Other • 25%