Market
What will be the Supreme Court's final decision on the birthright citizenship order by end of 2026?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Uphold the order • 25%
Overturn the order • 25%
Send back to lower court • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Supreme Court rulings and official announcements
Story
Trump Signs Order Ending Birthright Citizenship; Expects Legal Challenges
Jan 21, 2025, 12:59 AM
President Donald Trump has signed an executive order ending birthright citizenship for children of illegal immigrants in the United States. The order, issued shortly after his inauguration, seeks to redefine the 14th Amendment, which currently grants citizenship to all persons born or naturalized in the U.S., regardless of their parents' immigration status. Trump acknowledges that the action is expected to face immediate legal challenges, as birthright citizenship is a constitutional right affirmed by the Supreme Court more than 125 years ago.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Case not heard • 25%
Liberal majority • 25%
Conservative majority • 25%
Split decision • 25%
Federal District Court • 25%
Federal Appeals Court • 25%
Supreme Court • 25%
Other • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Order partially overturned • 25%
Order fully overturned • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Partial ruling • 25%
Order struck down • 25%
Rescinded or not implemented • 25%
Implemented without changes • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
